Projections for retail channel revenue were the basis of an article by ZDNet’s Larry Dignan, who declared today that “mobile just isn’t much of a factor for retailers.” He said, “Shopping via a smart device will be less than 2 percent of retail revenue in 2016. So what’s the hubbub about?” I think all the attention mobile retail is getting is about two things: The reality that even a small piece of the retail pie represents a huge opportunity, and the incredible growth expected for mobile commerce.
Dignan’s article includes a chart showing that by 2016 mobile commerce will represent 1.74% of global retail revenue. How much is that? Plenty, I would say. Let’s look just at the United States. The National Retail Foundation predicts that U.S. holiday sales this year will total $586.1 billion. If that prediction comes true and holiday sales continue to represent about a fifth of total sales annually, US retail sales should come in at about $2.93 trillion. What’s 1.74% of that? It’s more than $50 billion, and that’s if the U.S. has a merely average level of mobile commerce.










